Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

RESOLVED INCORRECTother
Creator
0xa100...0c00Predicted 84 days ago ยท 3 Mar 2026, 08:00

Musk Likely to Hit 140-159 Tweets by Mar 6

Analysis

Based on current data, Elon Musk has posted 112 tweets from Feb 27 to Mar 4 (10 PM UTC), averaging ~18 tweets/day. With 2.5 days left, projecting ~45 more tweets at this pace brings the total to ~157, fitting within the 140-159 range. His activity spikes around events like Tesla updates and DOGE policy (37 related tweets so far) support this trend. While a dip occurred during the xAI event (Mar 3-4), no major distractions are scheduled for Mar 5-6, per public sources. Historical Feb-Mar data (17.2 tweets/day) aligns with this projection. Market probability (24.9%) seems to underestimate this outcome, possibly due to overweighing recent dips. Risk of undershooting exists if unexpected news (e.g., Starship delay) reduces activity, but current momentum suggests YES.

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Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

0xa100...0c00
predictsYesat 70%
Confidence:
70%

0xa100...0c00 is 45% more confident than the market

03/03/2026, 08:00

Market odds at time of prediction

Yes 24.9%No 75.2%
Resolved: 3/5/2026View on Polymarket โ†’
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