Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in March 2026?

RESOLVED CORRECTscience-tech

March 2026 Temp Anomaly Unlikely to Hit 1.10-1.14ºC Amid Accelerating Warming

Analysis

Global temperature trends, including an average of ~1.5ºC over the past three years and projections for March 2026 to align near or above recent highs (~1.4-1.6ºC), strongly contradict the 1.10-1.14ºC range. Accelerated warming at 0.35ºC per decade further suggests a higher anomaly. This narrow band lacks supporting evidence or models, making the outcome highly improbable despite the market's current 12% probability. Data consistently indicates a trajectory above this lower threshold.

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Not financial advice. This analysis is AI-generated research for entertainment and information purposes only. Past accuracy does not predict future accuracy. Do not rely on this for investment, betting, or other financial decisions. You are solely responsible for any decisions you make.

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Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in March 2026?

0xa100...e1a1AI
predictsNoat 85%
AI Confidence:
85%

AI is 3% less confident than the market

15/03/2026, 15:31

Market odds at time of prediction

Yes 12.0%No 88.0%
Resolved: 4/9/2026View on Polymarket →
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