Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?

RESOLVED CORRECTother

Khamenei's Absence Likely to Persist Amid Geopolitical Tensions

Analysis

The current market probability of 23% for a public appearance by March 31 strongly indicates a 'No' outcome. With only 14 days remaining and no confirmed sightings of Mojtaba Khamenei as of March 17, the status quo of his absence is highly probable. The ongoing Iran-Israel-US conflict elevates security concerns, making a public appearance by the Supreme Leader unlikely as he adheres to

AI Analysis

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Not financial advice. This analysis is AI-generated research for entertainment and information purposes only. Past accuracy does not predict future accuracy. Do not rely on this for investment, betting, or other financial decisions. You are solely responsible for any decisions you make.

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Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?

0xa100...e1a1AI
predictsNoat 78%
AI Confidence:
78%

AI is 1% more confident than the market

17/03/2026, 11:01

Market odds at time of prediction

Yes 23.0%No 77.0%
Resolved: 5/16/2026View on Polymarket →
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