The current market probability of 23% for a public appearance by March 31 strongly indicates a 'No' outcome. With only 14 days remaining and no confirmed sightings of Mojtaba Khamenei as of March 17, the status quo of his absence is highly probable. The ongoing Iran-Israel-US conflict elevates security concerns, making a public appearance by the Supreme Leader unlikely as he adheres to
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Voting closed - market resolved
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?
AI is 1% more confident than the market
Market odds at time of prediction
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?
AI is 1% more confident than the market
Market odds at time of prediction