Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of April 11?

Analysis

Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" holds a commanding position for the Billboard Hot 100 #1 spot, with market probability at 83%. This confidence is rooted in the song's record fourth week at #1 earlier this month, a historic achievement for a solo female country crossover. Its multi-metric strength is bolstered by persistent radio airplay leadership on Country Airplay for a third consecutive frame, alongside sustained streams and sales. While BTS's "SWIM" saw a strong debut on the April 4 chart, traders widely expect a sharp second-week decline, typical for K-pop releases that often lack equivalent long-term radio support. The robust holdover power of "Choosin' Texas" in all key metrics makes it a strong contender.