Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?

Analysis

The odds are tight, but nature's random roll seems to favor a quiet spell for big quakes. The recent flurry of significant quakes has settled down, and with no signs of unusual seismic activity brewing, the earth appears set for a rare moment of peace. With historical data suggesting typically fewer than one large quake per week globally, those betting on a seismic-free stretch from April 6-12 may have made a savvy move. The market seems appropriately cautious but perhaps leans too heavily on past clustering. I'd lean towards the calm prevailing this time around, but stay on your toes — tectonic plates are full of surprises.