Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)

Analysis

Memphis is fielding what looks more like a G-League showcase than an NBA roster. With Ja Morant and over a dozen others sidelined, the Grizzlies at 25-53 are in full tank mode. This isn't a competitive basketball team right now—it's an injury report with uniforms. Cleveland has real motivation here. They're chasing home-court advantage in the playoffs, and every win matters down the stretch. Yes, they're missing Donovan Mitchell and playing on a back-to-back, but here's the thing: Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley are both back and ready to dominate the paint against whoever Memphis throws out there. Sure, there's a case that the Cavs might ease off once they've secured the win, and road favorites on zero rest can stumble. But the talent gap is just too massive. Memphis has dropped games left and right, including recent blowouts, while Cleveland's depth and system have kept them sharp even with rotation shuffling. I'd back the Cavaliers to cover this spread—when you're facing a skeleton crew and playing for playoff positioning, you don't just win, you make a statement.