Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?

Analysis

City have been throwing away leads left and right recently — that 2-2 draw with Forest after going ahead, then the same story against West Ham. When you're dropping points from winning positions, it suggests something isn't quite right. Chelsea might be in their worst run for ages, but that 7-0 hammering of Port Vale will have done wonders for confidence. At home with Champions League qualification on the line, they'll be right up for this. Both sides are missing key defenders, but City losing Dias and Gvardiol is massive — those two have been their backbone. Chelsea's backline might be patched up too, but they're the ones with home advantage. The market has this basically even and that feels right. City are the better team on paper, but form is temporary and class is permanent works both ways — sometimes the class doesn't show up when the form is dodgy. I'd lean toward Chelsea not losing this one. At home, desperate for points, against a City side that's been fragile — that's enough for me.