Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

Analysis

Game 1 wasn't just a win — it was a blueprint. Victor Wembanyama controlled the paint on both ends, and Portland had zero answers for his length and athleticism. That kind of mismatch doesn't magically disappear in Game 2. The Blazers are still without Damian Lillard, leaving them severely shorthanded in the backcourt. Their young bench showed flashes last game, but asking them to hang for 48 minutes against a deeper, more talented Spurs squad at Frost Bank Center is wishful thinking. San Antonio's 7-3 record against Portland in recent meetings tells you everything about this matchup — they've got Portland's number. Add in home court and the momentum from that Game 1 beatdown, and the Spurs look hungry to put this series in a chokehold. Sure, eleven and a half is a chunky spread, and there's always a chance Portland fights harder to avoid another embarrassment. But when you've got the best player on the floor, home advantage, and your opponent missing their star, that's the recipe for another double-digit win. I'd back the Spurs to cover — they've got the edge in every area that matters tonight.