Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 23?

Analysis

Every credible weather model has Seoul pegged at 21-22°C for April 23rd, and there's no good reason to think they're all missing the mark. The Korea Met Office isn't waffling here — they're calling it in the low twenties, and one-day forecasts are rarely off by multiple degrees. The conditions on the ground aren't doing any favors either. Cloud cover and yellow dust are both working against solar heating, and the airport measurement station typically runs a bit cooler than central Seoul anyway. We just came off a cold snap earlier this week, and spring isn't exactly known for dramatic overnight surges. Sure, there's a scenario where clouds break late afternoon and southerly winds push things warmer than expected — that's the slim chance keeping this from being a total lock. But you'd need everything to align perfectly for that spike, and the meteorological setup just isn't screaming breakout. The market seems overly optimistic about a temperature jump that the actual weather experts aren't forecasting. I'd back the under here without hesitation — the data's too consistent to ignore.