Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals

Analysis

Baltimore has dominated this series, taking the first two games by comfortable margins of 5-2 and 4-1, and there's no reason to expect Kansas City to suddenly flip the script. The Orioles have found their rhythm offensively while the Royals are stuck in an eight-game tailspin that's followed them home from a disastrous road trip. Grayson Rodriguez gives Baltimore a clear edge on the mound. His 3.12 ERA and recent form are miles ahead of Cole Ragans, who's been shaky with a 4.05 ERA. In a deciding game, that pitching gap matters immensely, especially when you're facing a lineup that's gone ice cold. Yes, Kansas City is desperate to avoid an embarrassing home sweep, but desperation doesn't equal execution. This Royals team looks genuinely broken right now, and their bats haven't shown any signs of life when it counts. Even without Adley Rutschman, Baltimore has proven they can handle this matchup. I'd back the Orioles to complete the sweep because they're the team with momentum, the pitching advantage, and the confidence that comes from already beating this opponent twice in a row.