Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?

Analysis

Manchester City haven't lost to Everton since 2017. Eighteen games, fifteen wins — that's not luck, that's dominance baked into the DNA of this fixture. When a psychological edge runs that deep, you simply don't bet against it. City arrive in form too, winning their last three including a gutsy FA Cup semi-final win over Southampton. With Arsenal breathing down their necks in the title race, Guardiola's side have every reason to treat this like a must-win. That motivation is real and it shows up on the pitch. Yes, Dias and Gvardiol are out, and Rodri is a doubt. But City's squad depth has already absorbed those blows without blinking. Haaland is back and firing, and their attack alone is a handful for any defence in the league. Everton, by contrast, are sliding. Back-to-back losses — including a poor showing against West Ham — have exposed their defensive frailties and blunted whatever home-crowd energy Goodison might conjure. They haven't shown the consistency to hurt a team of City's quality. Back City to win here. The head-to-head record, current form, and sheer title-race urgency make this one of the cleaner calls on the weekend card.