Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?

Analysis

Bayern have been perfect at home in the Champions League this season — six games, six wins, and that record isn't a fluke. The Allianz Arena becomes a different beast when the stakes are this high. Yes, they shipped three goals to Heidenheim at the weekend, but that was job-done mode after clinching the Bundesliga. In the first leg, they showed they can hurt PSG — four goals in Paris proved their attack is firing when it matters. PSG are missing Achraf Hakimi through injury, and he was crucial to their defensive structure in that 5-4 thriller. Without him, their right flank looks vulnerable against Bayern's pace. Both teams will score again — that's almost guaranteed given what we saw in the first leg — but Bayern only need to win by one goal to advance. At home, with the crowd behind them and everything to play for, they've got enough quality to get the job done. I'd back Bayern here — their home fortress advantage feels underpriced.