Robinhood's sitting at $79 with about 17 trading days left in May, and the chart is broken. Q1 missed on revenue by 6-10%, crypto revenue cratered 47%, and the stock got smoked 13% on the print before grinding sideways. To clip $100, you need a 26%+ rally with no earnings catalyst — Q2 doesn't drop until late July. The technicals make it worse. Immediate resistance is $84.81, then $93.15, and only after clearing those does $100 come into view. The trend is down, not up. Yes, analyst targets average $107-$125, but those are 12-month price objectives, not three-week moonshots. The only realistic path is a surprise catalyst — a major product announcement at the June 2 annual meeting (too late), an unexpected M&A leak, or a broad market melt-up. None of that is in the news flow. The June meeting actually sits AFTER resolution, so any pre-meeting hype has limited runway. Prediction markets on adjacent strikes show $85 around even money and $90 fading fast. $100 is deep out-of-the-money lottery territory. I'd lay this one — easy fade unless something exotic hits the tape.
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Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?
Market odds at time of prediction
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?
Market odds at time of prediction