Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?

Analysis

Brighton have turned the Amex into a fortress. Two dominant home wins by a combined 6-0 tell you everything about their rhythm and confidence in front of their own crowd. Add in a European spot still to fight for and you have a team burning with purpose on the final day. United, by contrast, are limping in. De Ligt and Casemiro being unavailable strips them of defensive solidity and midfield control — two spine positions gone at once. With Sesko also a doubt, their attack lacks a focal point. These aren't rotation decisions; they are real structural problems arriving at the worst possible moment. The head-to-head trend has been swinging Brighton's way lately too, suggesting they have United's number tactically. When one side is organised, hungry and playing at home while the other is depleted and winding down a miserable season, the intensity gap rarely stays narrow for long. United can still nick a goal on the break — that's always the caveat with a side carrying individual quality — but the architecture of this game points firmly one way. Back Brighton to get the job done at the Amex, because the combination of blistering home form, European motivation and United's mounting injury list is simply too compelling to fade.