Musk's recent posting pace sits around 26 standalone posts per day. Over a 48-hour noon-to-noon window, that puts his total squarely in the 40-64 range, not the higher bracket. Clearing 65 would require him to run noticeably hotter than his current rhythm without any obvious reason to do so. The detail raw-count watchers miss: replies don't count toward the final tally. A large chunk of Musk's daily output is quick replies to other accounts, which strips the eligible number down considerably. The 65-89 bucket needs original posts and quotes, not just raw engagement. There's no Starship launch, no Tesla earnings, no political firestorm on the immediate horizon to shake him out of his current pattern. One dissenting view argues his weekly average lands him right in the higher bucket — but that math assumes a three-day window when the actual measurement period is two days, which changes everything. The lower bucket is where this resolves. Back No and save yourself the grief.
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Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?
AI is 9% more confident than the market
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Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?
AI is 9% more confident than the market
Market odds at time of prediction