Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?

Analysis

Algeria have done everything right in the build-up. Four goals against Bolivia, then a controlled 1-0 win over the Netherlands — this is a squad that can both batter weaker sides and grind out results against serious opposition. With Mahrez pulling the strings and Amoura offering a constant threat in behind, they carry more match-winners than Jordan can handle. Jordan arrive at their first ever World Cup on the back of three straight defeats. Colombia and Switzerland both put them away, and nothing in that run suggests they are ready to shock a side of Algeria's calibre. The step up in quality is enormous. The neutral venue in Santa Clara matters too. Jordan get no partisan crowd to drag them through difficult moments, and without that emotional lift, the gap in class becomes even harder to paper over. They will sit deep and try to frustrate — their defensive organisation is the one genuine weapon in their locker. But Algeria have too much. The attacking depth, the tournament craft, the momentum — it all points one way. Back Algeria to win, because when the quality difference is this obvious, good organisation only delays the inevitable.