Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?

Analysis

England walked through Croatia looking like a team that had solved its problems: midfield control, clinical finishing, and a defensive shape that gave nothing away cheaply. That is the team Ghana have to beat outright — not draw with, beat. Ghana showed spirit to nick a stoppage-time winner against Panama, but Panama are nowhere near England's level. The jump in class here is enormous, and the Black Stars will spend long spells chasing the ball and defending rather than playing on the front foot. Yes, Ghana have pace on the counter and Semenyo is a genuine handful. A scrappy set-piece goal followed by England getting loose with the ball is the upset script — it exists. But it needs too many things to break right simultaneously: an early goal, England losing discipline, and Ghana staying compact for ninety minutes against the likes of Bellingham and Kane. England's squad depth means even if they rotate slightly, they are still fielding world-class quality at every position. Ghana simply do not have the firepower to punish a well-organised side across a full ninety minutes. Back England to win — the structure, the talent, and the momentum all point in one direction.