Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Analysis

Norway have one of the most dangerous strikers on the planet, fully rested and hungry after sitting out that France mauling. On paper, they're the better team. But this market only pays on normal time, and that changes everything. Côte d'Ivoire have been genuinely tough to break down. They sit deep, stay compact, and hit hard on the counter through Pépé and Diomandé. That's exactly the blueprint underdogs use to frustrate European heavyweights in knockout football — and it works more often than people admit. There's no home crowd at AT&T Stadium pushing Norway forward. No pressure valve. Just 90 minutes of a well-drilled African side with nothing to lose making life uncomfortable. Norway's defense also looked shaky when stretched in the group stage, which means Ivory Coast don't just survive — they can hurt. The YES side is basically asking you to trust Norway to unlock a stubborn low block inside regulation on a neutral pitch in a knockout match. That's a lot to ask even with Haaland. A draw that sends this to extra time is the most natural result here. Back NO — Norway winning in 90 minutes is the minority outcome, and the price doesn't account for how hard Ivory Coast will make this.