Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5

Analysis

Look at the evidence. Switzerland kept Algeria out completely, winning 2-0 with a shape so organised it suffocated any chance of a comeback. Colombia edged Ghana 1-0, grinding through on a single goal despite having Luis Díaz and James Rodríguez on the pitch. Three goals across two matches tells you everything about how both sides are approaching this tournament. Switzerland's whole identity is built on defensive discipline — they sit deep, stay compact, and make you work for every inch. Colombia have the individual quality to hurt anyone, but they've been pragmatic rather than flamboyant in this run. Winning ugly is clearly the gameplan. Knockout football amplifies that caution even further. Nobody wants to be the manager who threw men forward and got punished on the counter with a place in the quarter-finals on the line. Expect both sides to feel each other out, protect their shape, and wait for one moment to decide it. A scrappy 1-0 or a tightly contested 1-1 is the most natural outcome here — not a game that blows open. Back the under, because both teams have shown exactly who they are, and neither one is inviting chaos.