Games Total: O/U 3.5

Analysis

HLE are the better team — that's not the debate. They beat T1 domestically, dismantled G2 and Secret Whales in bracket, and carry more big-stage experience than any LCS side. But here's the thing: they just went four maps against Bilibili Gaming and lost the series. This is not a roster that steamrolls good opponents. LYON arrive as LCS champions on a sweep run through the lower bracket, and Inspired is exactly the type of playmaker who can hijack an early game before HLE settle into their macro. In a best-of-five, LYON don't need to win the series — they just need to win once. The dissenters here called a clean HLE sweep, and it's not a crazy read. The individual talent gap is real, and a motivated HLE side looking to conserve energy could come out sharp. But LYON's recent form and HLE's demonstrated habit of giving up maps to opponents who push them hard makes a 3-0 feel too neat. Back the Over — LYON are too battle-hardened to get swept, and HLE have already shown us they'll concede a map when tested.