France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5

Analysis

This is a World Cup semifinal between two of the most dangerous attacks in the tournament, and the ask is simply two goals between them. That's a low bar when you consider what these squads are capable of. Spain already proved they can win a proper knockout scrap, beating Belgium two-one in the quarterfinal — and that was against a well-organised elite defense. France bring blistering pace on the counter, exactly the kind of weapon that punishes Spain when possession turns over. These styles don't cancel each other out — they create openings. The head-to-head history backs this up too. Their most recent competitive meeting was a five-four Nations League thriller. That's not a template for a final scoreline, but it tells you everything about the attacking DNA both squads carry into this game. Semifinalists can be cagey, sure. But a single early goal blows the shape of the game wide open, and both benches have the firepower to make that happen. A drab goalless grind is the unlikely outcome here, not the expected one. Back the Over — two elite attacks on a neutral pitch with 90 minutes to work with makes this one of the cleaner calls on the board.